Skarmory's Bracketology – 01/30/24

Welcome back to Bracketology! This week's edition features an incredibly cramped 7-8 line that I had no real idea what to do with – I think you could organize them about 15 different ways and I'd see the reasoning behind it. I think the most notable teams that are hard to place there are South Carolina and TCU, though Michigan State is also tough. The bubble (honestly, anything below Colorado) is a mess as well. Specifically, Villanova has flashes of 2023 Rutgers, and that's why they're left out as of now.

Also, games from today are not accounted for. Jan. 30, 8:19 PM

Bold indicates autobids and Italics indicate first four teams; first four matchups are in (parenthesis) if possible.

1 seeds: Purdue, Houston, UConn, North Carolina

2 seeds: Tennessee, Wisconsin, Arizona, Kansas

3 seeds: Marquette, Alabama, Iowa State, Creighton

4 seeds: Auburn, Illinois, Duke, Dayton

5 seeds: Kentucky, BYU, Texas Tech, San Diego State

6 seeds: Baylor, New Mexico, Utah State, Clemson

7 seeds: FAU, Oklahoma, Mississippi State, TCU

8 seeds: South Carolina, St. John's, Northwestern, Michigan State

9 seeds: Utah, Ole Miss, Colorado State, Texas

10 seeds: Colorado, Nebraska, St. Mary's, Indiana State

11 seeds: Washington State, Boise State, Providence, (Texas A&M, Cincinnati)

12 seeds: (Florida, Villanova), Grand Canyon, Princeton, McNeese

13 seeds: Appalachian State, UC Irvine, Samford, Akron

14 seeds: Louisiana Tech, Vermont, UNC Wilmington, Morehead State

15 seeds: High Point, Eastern Washington, Oakland, Colgate

16 seeds: Quinnipiac, Lipscomb, (South Dakota State, Southern), (Norfolk State, Merrimack)

Last 4 byes: Nebraska, Washington State, Boise State, Providence

Last 4 in: (Texas A&M, Cincinnati), (Florida, Memphis)

First 4 out: Villanova, Wake Forest, Seton Hall, Kansas State

Next 4 out: Gonzaga, Virginia, Syracuse, Oregon

Bubble watch is currently under construction! Hopefully, I can finish it off in the next few days. For now, check out bracketmatrix.com to get an idea of where bracketologists have teams; as I actually had a fairly accurate prediction last year, my bracket will now be included among the ones listed there! :)

Bids by conference:

Big 12: 10

SEC: 9

Big Ten: 6

Big East: 5

Mountain West: 5

Pac-12: 4

ACC: 3

American: 2

Skarmory's Bracketology – 01/23/24

Welcome back to Bracketology! Expect this to be weekly for now; I don't see any reason it'll become more or less frequent for the next few weeks. Not much to say this time around, other than the fact that I do not understand why Villanova is generally projected so high in brackets, often on the 7/8 line. Or why BYU seems to be by consensus about a seed line above Iowa State. Or why Kentucky is generally a 3 seed. (Okay, maybe I have a few things to say.) Jan. 23, 2:30 PM

1 seeds: Purdue, UConn, Houston, North Carolina

2 seeds: Tennessee, Arizona, Wisconsin, Kansas

3 seeds: Auburn, Baylor, Marquette, Illinois

4 seeds: Creighton, BYU, Iowa State, Dayton

5 seeds: Oklahoma, Kentucky, Alabama, San Diego State

6 seeds: Duke, Colorado State, Texas Tech, Utah

7 seeds: Utah State, Clemson, FAU, Memphis

8 seeds: Texas A&M, Seton Hall, Michigan State, New Mexico

9 seeds: Mississippi State, TCU, St. John's, Ole Miss

10 seeds: Boise State, St. Mary's, Villanova, Princeton

11 seeds: South Carolina, Nebraska, Indiana State, Northwestern

12 seeds: (Cincinnati, Florida), (Kansas State, Wake Forest), Grand Canyon, James Madison

13 seeds: McNeese, Samford, Akron, UC Irvine

14 seeds: Louisiana Tech, UNC Wilmington, Vermont, High Point

15 seeds: Montana, Morehead State, Oakland, Colgate

16 seeds: South Dakota State, Quinnipiac, (Lipscomb, Norfolk State), (Southern, Merrimack)

Last 4 byes: Boise State, South Carolina, Nebraska, Northwestern

Last 4 in: (Cincinnati, Florida), (Kansas State, Wake Forest)

First 4 out: Colorado, Syracuse, Oregon, Virginia

Next 4 out: Providence, Texas, Xavier, Gonzaga

I'm starting work on Bubble Watch this week, so expect that to come out probably next week or the week after (it'll be updated in a live setting as it was last year, I may also post it on substack; will see how it goes). For now, check out bracketmatrix.com to get an idea of where bracketologists have teams; as I actually had a fairly accurate prediction last year, my bracket will now be included among the ones listed there! :)

Bids by conference:

Big 12: 10

SEC: 9

Big East: 6

Big Ten: 6

Mountain West: 5

ACC: 4

American: 2

Pac-12: 2

Skarmory's Bracketology – 01/16/24

Hey, it's an early bracketology! I'm making a poll each week, and since it's getting towards tournament season, I geared it to be a poll based off bracketology. That means I already had the top 6 seed lists ready, so I figured why not just finish it? I don't usually try my hand at bracketology until a couple weeks from now, so it may be a bit funky until then. Jan. 16, 3:45 PM

1 seeds: Purdue, Houston, UConn, Kansas

2 seeds: Wisconsin, Arizona, North Carolina, Baylor

3 seeds: Tennessee, Auburn, Duke, Illinois

4 seeds: Creighton, Kentucky, Memphis, Dayton

5 seeds: Alabama, Marquette, BYU, Iowa State

6 seeds: Utah State, Clemson, San Diego State, Oklahoma

7 seeds: Ole Miss, Colorado State, Utah, FAU

8 seeds: TCU, St. John's, Texas Tech, Texas A&M

9 seeds: Mississippi State, Villanova, Nevada, Nebraska

10 seeds: Michigan State, South Carolina, Princeton, Grand Canyon

11 seeds: Boise State, Cincinnati, Northwestern, Miami (FL), Seton Hall*

12 seeds: Wake Forest, Florida*, Gonzaga, Indiana State, James Madison

13 seeds: McNeese, UC Irvine, Samford, Akron

14 seeds: Louisiana Tech, UNCW, Vermont, High Point

15 seeds: Morehead State, Eastern Washington, Oakland, Lipscomb

16 seeds: Colgate, Quinnipiac, (Southern, South Dakota State), (Norfolk State, Central Connecticut)

Last 4 byes: South Carolina, Boise State, Cincinnati, Northwestern

Last 4 in: Miami (FL), Seton Hall, Wake Forest, Florida

First 4 out: New Mexico, Oregon, Virginia Tech, Kansas State

Next 4 out: Colorado, Texas, Providence, Butler

*Given Florida and Wake have played eachother in the regular season, and Miami and Wake will play eachother in the regular season, they cannot play in the first four – Florida would move up to the 11 line and Seton Hall down to the 12 line in an actual bracket to make the first four matchups possible, making the first four matchups Miami vs. Florida and Seton Hall vs. Wake.

Bubble watch will come in a couple weeks. For now, check out bracketmatrix.com to get an idea of where bracketologists have teams; as I actually had a fairly accurate prediction last year, my bracket will now be included among the ones listed there! :)