Autobids indicated by Bold text. First four teams are in italics, first four matchups in (parenthesis) if possible. Updated for games (outside Boise State-UNLV) on 2/19/23.
1 seeds: Alabama, Houston, Kansas, Purdue
2 seeds: Texas, Arizona, UCLA, Baylor
3 seeds: Virginia, Kansas State, Tennessee, Indiana
4 seeds: Marquette, Iowa State, Gonzaga, Xavier
5 seeds: UConn, Miami (FL), St. Mary's, Creighton
6 seeds: San Diego State, Northwestern, TCU, Providence
7 seeds: Michigan State, Maryland, Illinois, Duke
8 seeds: Iowa, Auburn, Arkansas, Missouri
9 seeds: Nevada, Texas A&M, Rutgers, FAU
10 seeds: NC State, West Virginia, Oklahoma State, Kentucky
11 seeds: Boise State, Wisconsin, (Memphis, Mississippi State), (USC, Pittsburgh)
12 seeds: Charleston, Oral Roberts, Kent State, Liberty
13 seeds: Drake, Utah Valley, VCU, Southern Miss
14 seeds: Yale, Iona, UC Irvine, Eastern Washington
15 seeds: Furman, Vermont, Colgate, Youngstown State
16 seeds: UNC Asheville, Northwestern State, (Grambling, Norfolk State), (Morehead State, Fairleigh Dickinson)
Last four byes: Oklahoma State, Kentucky, Boise State, Wisconsin
Last four in: (Memphis, Mississippi State), (USC, Pittsburgh)
First four out: North Carolina, Arizona State, North Texas, Oregon
Next four out: Michigan, Penn State, Texas Tech, New Mexico
Check out my bubble watch – it's better than this mess of a bracketology thing I'm trying to put together! None of that is impacted by this, don't worry, this is more of an exercise for where I place teams.
Also, check out bracketmatrix.com, where you will probably find many more accurate brackets/seed lines than this one. I used to be on there, but I won't be this year until the final bracket because they imposed a limit of at least one bracket in the top half over the past 5 years... yeah that's on me for not being good at bracketology. Maybe I can get top half this year? Who knows.
Bids by conference:
Big Ten: 9
Big 12: 8
SEC: 8
ACC: 5
Big East: 5
MWC: 3
Pac-12: 3
AAC: 2
WCC: 2
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