Autobids indicated by Bold text. First four teams are in italics, first four matchups in (parenthesis) if possible. Updated for games on 2/26/23.
1 seeds: Alabama, Kansas, Houston, Purdue
2 seeds: UCLA, Texas, Baylor, Arizona
3 seeds: Kansas State, Tennessee, Marquette, Gonzaga
4 seeds: Indiana, UConn, Virginia, St. Mary's
5 seeds: Miami (FL), Iowa State, San Diego State, Xavier
6 seeds: TCU, Northwestern, Michigan State, Maryland
7 seeds: Kentucky, Providence, Creighton, Duke
8 seeds: Missouri, Illinois, Iowa, Arkansas
9 seeds: Texas A&M, Nevada, FAU, NC State
10 seeds: West Virginia, Rutgers, USC, Auburn
11 seeds: Memphis, Boise State, (Mississippi State, Pittsburgh), (Arizona State, Oklahoma State)
12 seeds: Oral Roberts, Charleston, Bradley, Liberty
13 seeds: VCU, Utah Valley, Yale, Toledo
14 seeds: Marshall, Iona, Eastern Washington, Furman
15 seeds: UC Santa Barbara, Vermont, Colgate, UNC Asheville
16 seeds: Youngstown State, Northwestern State, (Grambling, Norfolk State), (Morehead State, Wagner)
Last four byes: USC, Auburn, Memphis, Boise State
Last four in: (Mississippi State, Pittsburgh), (Arizona State, Oklahoma State)
First four out: Michigan, Oregon, Wisconsin, Penn State
Next four out: Clemson, New Mexico, Texas Tech, North Carolina
Check out my bubble watch – it's better than this mess of a bracketology thing I'm trying to put together! This bracketology has barely any affect on where I place teams in the bubble watch – I prefer to look at the general consensus for the watch and build out off that, while going off the consensus for bracketology would basically involve copying brackets from elsewhere, which... no, I'm not doing that.
Also, check out bracketmatrix.com, where you will probably find many more accurate brackets/seed lines than this one. I used to be on there, but I won't be this year until the final bracket because they imposed a limit of at least one bracket in the top half over the past 5 years... yeah that's on me for not being good at bracketology. Maybe I can get top half this year? Who knows.
Bids by conference:
Big 12: 8
Big Ten: 8SEC: 8
ACC: 5
Big East: 5
Pac-12: 4MWC: 3
AAC: 2
WCC: 2