Autobids indicated by Bold text. First four teams are in italics, first four matchups in (parenthesis) if possible. Posted at 8:05 PM on 03/08/23 – any games ending before that time are included, any games after are not.
1 seeds: Kansas, Alabama, Houston, UCLA
2 seeds: Purdue, Texas, Baylor, Arizona
3 seeds: Kansas State, Gonzaga, Tennessee, Marquette
4 seeds: UConn, Xavier, Indiana, San Diego State
5 seeds: Virginia, Miami (FL), St. Mary's, Iowa State
6 seeds: TCU, Creighton, Michigan State, Duke
7 seeds: Kentucky, Texas A&M, Missouri, Northwestern
8 seeds: Maryland, West Virginia, Illinois, Auburn
9 seeds: Arkansas, FAU, Iowa, Boise State
10 seeds: USC, Memphis, Providence, NC State
11 seeds: Mississippi State, Nevada, (Utah State, Penn State), (Rutgers, Pittsburgh)
12 seeds: Oral Roberts, Charleston, Drake, Utah Valley
13 seeds: VCU, Toledo, Yale, Iona
14 seeds: Louisiana, Kennesaw State, Furman, UC Irvine
15 seeds: Montana State, Vermont, Colgate, UNC Asheville
16 seeds: Grambling, Northern Kentucky, (NC Central, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi), (SE Missouri State, Fairleigh Dickinson)
Last four byes: Providence, NC State, Mississippi State, Nevada
Last four in: (Utah State, Penn State), (Rutgers, Pittsburgh)
First four out: Oklahoma State, Wisconsin, Arizona State, Oregon
Next four out: North Carolina, Michigan, Clemson, Vanderbilt
Check out my bubble watch – it's better than this mess of a bracketology thing I'm trying to put together! This bracketology has barely any affect on where I place teams in the bubble watch – I prefer to look at the general consensus for the watch and build out off that, while going off the consensus for bracketology would basically involve copying brackets from elsewhere, which... no, I'm not doing that.
Also, check out bracketmatrix.com, where you will probably find many more accurate brackets/seed lines than this one. I used to be on there, but I won't be this year until the final bracket because they imposed a limit of at least one bracket in the top half over the past 5 years... yeah that's on me for not being good at bracketology. Maybe I can get top half this year? Who knows.
Bids by conference:
Big Ten: 9
SEC: 8
Big 12: 7
ACC: 5
Big East: 5
MWC: 4
Pac-12: 3AAC: 2
WCC: 2
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